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FDV/raise ratio

The FDV-to-raise ratio is fully-diluted valuation divided by total capital raised, used as a capital-efficiency and dilution sanity check. A ratio outside the healthy band signals either a valuation the project will struggle to grow into or a raise that gave away too much supply at too low a price.

There is no single correct value. The ratio has a sensible range for each vertical and stage, so benchmark it against comparable raises, never against a universal constant.

How it works

Divide fully-diluted valuation by the total capital raised across all rounds. The ratio answers one question: given how much money came in at what valuations, how much does the fully-diluted market cap now have to support?

It is one of the first numbers a lead investor runs in diligence, because it surfaces structural imbalances in the fundraising history immediately.

Why it matters

A very high ratio, say 50x or above depending on vertical and stage, means the valuation needs extraordinary front-loaded growth to justify before unlock pressure arrives. Not impossible, but it demands a growth thesis at least as aggressive as the ratio implies.

A very low ratio, say 3 to 5x at seed, can mean early investors took so much supply at such a low price that their cost basis sits far below any plausible TGE price, creating structural sell pressure from day one.

How we approach it

We benchmark the ratio against three to five comparable raises at similar stages. Infrastructure protocols with long-horizon utility tolerate higher ratios than near-term yield products, so a blanket threshold ignores the real distribution of outcomes.

We also model it at each round, not just at TGE when the structure is already fixed. A seed round priced too high constrains every subsequent round and locks the FDV onto a trajectory that may need an unsupported headline number at launch. We build this before term sheets are signed.

See Tokenomics Audit for how this applies in practice.

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