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Adversarial risk pass

An adversarial risk pass is a structured step where the team deliberately tries to break the model it just built. For each threat vector it documents likelihood, impact, mitigations, and the residual risk that survives. It surfaces the failure modes internal design reviews routinely miss.

The most cherished design elements are usually the largest attack surfaces, and you only see that when you look at them like someone trying to game them.

How it works

The method borrows from formal threat modeling in cybersecurity and military wargaming. Each threat becomes a hypothesis: if a rational, well-capitalized actor tried to exploit this vector, what happens? The team walks the exploit path step by step, marks where the model resists or fails, and records that assessment as evidence.

Vague claims like "governance prevents abuse" get rejected. The specific governance mechanism, its required quorum, and the delay between proposal and execution all have to be stated and stress-tested.

Design consequence

Teams that run the pass routinely find their favorite design elements doubling as their biggest exposures. Emission schedules, reward multipliers, and governance thresholds all look different when viewed from the position of someone trying to exploit them rather than use them honestly.

Example

A yield protocol with uncapped single-asset deposits and no per-epoch mint ceiling will, under adversarial examination, reveal that a large depositor can dilute other stakers' rewards to near zero and trigger an exit cascade. The cascade is the real risk. The uncapped deposit is only the mechanism that allows it.

Common mistake

Confusing an adversarial pass with a traditional SWOT analysis. SWOT is qualitative and backward-looking. An adversarial pass is quantitative, forward-looking, and attacker-centric. A project that produces only a SWOT has not run an adversarial pass.

See Tokenomics Audit Services for how this applies in practice.

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